Kaival Brands Innovations Stock Performance
| KAVL Stock | USD 0.02 0.0005 3.03% |
The company secures a Beta (Market Risk) of 1.14, which conveys a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. Kaival Brands returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Kaival Brands is expected to follow. At this point, Kaival Brands Innovations has a negative expected return of -4.53%. Please make sure to verify Kaival Brands' value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Kaival Brands Innovations performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weakest
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days Kaival Brands Innovations has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite unfluctuating performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain quite persistent which may send shares a bit higher in March 2026. The latest mess may also be a sign of long-standing up-swing for the company institutional investors. ...more
Last Split Factor 1:21 | Last Split Date 2024-01-25 |
1 | Disposition of 25000 shares by Stephen Sheriff of Kaival Brands at 1.16 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 12/01/2025 |
2 | Insider Trading | 02/02/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 3.9 M | |
| Free Cash Flow | -2.8 M |
Kaival Brands Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 46.00 in Kaival Brands Innovations on November 21, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (44.38) from holding Kaival Brands Innovations or give up 96.48% of portfolio value over 90 days. Kaival Brands Innovations is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 12.7449% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, most equities are less risky than Kaival, and most traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Kaival Brands Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of Kaival Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.02 | 90 days | 0.02 | about 79.39 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Kaival Brands to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 79.39 (This Kaival Brands Innovations probability density function shows the probability of Kaival Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Kaival Brands Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Kaival Brands
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Kaival Brands Innovations. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kaival Brands' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kaival Brands Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Kaival Brands is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Kaival Brands' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Kaival Brands Innovations, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Kaival Brands within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -4.51 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.14 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.20 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.37 |
Kaival Brands Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Kaival Brands for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Kaival Brands Innovations can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kaival Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kaival Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kaival Brands has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Kaival Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 46.76 K. Net Loss for the year was (16.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 484.66 K. | |
| Kaival Brands Innovations currently holds about 3.36 M in cash with (2.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Kaival Brands has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 25000 shares by Stephen Sheriff of Kaival Brands at 1.16 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
Kaival Brands Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Kaival Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Kaival Brands' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kaival Brands' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 11 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 534.4 K |
Kaival Brands Fundamentals Growth
Kaival Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Kaival Brands, and Kaival Brands fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Kaival Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | -2.39 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.51 | ||||
| Operating Margin | (1.90) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | (310.17 K) | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 13.54 M | ||||
| Price To Book | 2.25 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.50 X | ||||
| Revenue | 46.76 K | ||||
| Gross Profit | 484.66 K | ||||
| EBITDA | (15.85 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (16.63 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 3.36 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 0.06 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 569.29 K | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.11 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 7.18 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 0.01 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (2.77 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.51) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 243.64 K | ||||
| Total Asset | 669.26 K | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (54.09 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 99.97 K | ||||
About Kaival Brands Performance
By examining Kaival Brands' fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Kaival Brands' financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Kaival Brands is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 127.24 | 133.61 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | (28.61) | (27.18) | |
| Return On Capital Employed | (196.46) | (186.64) | |
| Return On Assets | (28.61) | (27.18) | |
| Return On Equity | (191.57) | (181.99) |
Things to note about Kaival Brands Innovations performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Kaival Brands for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Kaival Brands Innovations help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Kaival Brands generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Kaival Brands has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Kaival Brands has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Kaival Brands has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 46.76 K. Net Loss for the year was (16.63 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 484.66 K. | |
| Kaival Brands Innovations currently holds about 3.36 M in cash with (2.77 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.06, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| Kaival Brands has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 22.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from MacroaxisInsider: Disposition of 25000 shares by Stephen Sheriff of Kaival Brands at 1.16 subject to Rule 16b-3 |
- Analyzing Kaival Brands' financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Kaival Brands' stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Kaival Brands' industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Kaival Brands' management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Kaival Brands' management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Kaival Brands' stock. These opinions can provide insight into Kaival Brands' potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Correlation Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Kaival Brands Innovations. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in manufacturing. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Packaged Foods & Meats space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Kaival Brands. Expected growth trajectory for Kaival significantly influences the price investors are willing to assign. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Kaival Brands assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Earnings Share (1.51) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.87) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Understanding Kaival Brands Innovations requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Kaival's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value - what Kaival Brands' is actually worth based on fundamentals - guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Kaival Brands' price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
Understanding that Kaival Brands' value differs from its trading price is crucial, as each reflects different aspects of the company. Evaluating whether Kaival Brands represents a sound investment requires analyzing earnings trends, revenue growth, technical signals, industry dynamics, and expert forecasts. In contrast, Kaival Brands' trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.